Heat @ Cavs 7:30 PM ET Line: Heat -8.5 O/U 207.5
Pick: Heat -8.5
Pistons @ Mavs 8:30 PM ET Line: Mavs -5 O/U 207.5
Pick: Mavs -5
Hornets @ Bucks 8:30 PM ET Line: Bucks -11.5 O/U 230.5
Pick: Bucks -11.5
Suns @ Nuggets 9 PM ET Line: Nuggets -16 O/U 222
Pick: Nuggets 1H -9.5
We’re back in a big way with 4 NBA games to start off the weekend. First up is the Heat in Cleveland to face the lowly Cavs. Let’s face it, the Cavs are one of the worst 3 teams in the NBA, and even though they’re are home, I don’t think that makes a difference. They’ve gotten blown out a bunch in the last few games, and that trend will continue against Miami. The Heat have been struggling as well, but a trip into Cleveland is just what the doctor ordered to get them back on track.
The Mavs are a great team at home, not so much on the road. Lucky for them, they play at home tonight vs Detroit. No Andre Drummond tonight for the Pistons will open up the lane for DeAndre Jordan and Doncic, so look for a big game from those two. The Pistons are in the middle of a road trip, coming off a win in New Orleans. Hopefully the Mavs continue their hot play at home and cover the 5.
Sticking with the home-team trend, the Bucks are a gaudy 21-4 at home this year. They haven’t played since MLK Day so they should be well rested and ready to dismantle a Hornets team that struggles on the road. Look for Malcolm Brogdon to try and stifle Kemba. If he can do that, or at least keep him around 20 points for the game, I like the Bucks to win big. Giannis just has to keep doing what he’s been doing all year and the Bucks should be in good shape tonight.
Last up we have the terrible Suns going to Denver. The spread is enormous, which makes sense because the Suns are on a back-to-back where they got blown out last night, had to travel overnight, and are facing one of the top teams in the West. I’m not fully on board with the 16-point spread, just because I can see the Nuggets relaxing a bit if they get up a bunch in the 4th. The first half line is 9.5, and I don’t see the Suns keeping the first half to single digits. Stay positive.