January 20, 2019 Picks

Florida St @ Boston College Noon ET (ESPNU) Line: FSU -6.5 O/U 149

Pick: Under 149

Rams @ Saints 3 PM ET (FOX) Line: Saints -3 O/U 56

Pick: Saints -3, Over 56

Patriots @ Chiefs 6:40 PM ET (CBS) Line: Chiefs -3 O/U 56.5

Pick: Over 56.5, Patriots +3

Parlay: Saints -3, Saints/Rams Over 56.5, Patriots/Chiefs Over 56.5  (.5U @ +600)

Football is finally back in our lives today with two great Conference Championship games. But before we get to that, there’s some college basketball to pass the time along. Florida St has gotten off to a terrible start in ACC play, but so has BC. Neither team has a great offensive player that can carry them in this one, and I’m a believer in Unders on weekend games with an early tip. Not much else to this pick. Under 149.

Now let’s move to the NFL. After what seemed like forever, we finally get to watch these four great offenses take the field. The Saints struggled past Nick Foles and the Eagles last week, but survived to get to today. The Rams already lost in NOLA, 45-35, earlier this year. There’s no reason to think the defense will be any better in this game, and I like the Saints home-field advantage, so I’m rocking the Over 56 and Saints -3.

In the late game, the Pats go to chilly Arrowhead Stadium to take on the likely MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. These teams also played earlier in the year, with the Patriots winning a thriller 43-40. The only reason there might be less offense is because of the weather, with temperatures dipping into single digits as the game goes along. I don’t think that will phase wither QB, and again we will see a lot of points. I can’t bring myself to bet against Tom Brady so I made a late decision to smack the Patriots +3. Over 56.5 Pats +3.

Just for fun I’m also throwing three NFL picks into a .5U parlay at +600. The Over in the Saints game shifted from 56 to 56.5 in the 30 seconds in between placing the bets, so hopefully this doesn’t come back to bite me.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s